Fractures in the Blue Fortress

[Da Lat]

.


Fractures in the Blue Fortress



By Kevin Finn
Nov. 20, 2025

In the wake of Donald Trump's 2024 victory -- sweeping swing states, securing the popular vote, and flipping both congressional chambers -- the Democrat Party confronts an existential reckoning. Voter registration data paints a grim picture: between 2020 and 2024, Democrats hemorrhaged over 2.1 million registered voters across 30 states, while Republicans gained 2.4 million, erasing a once-commanding 11-point advantage. In battleground states like Pennsylvania and Nevada, this exodus fueled GOP triumphs, with new registrations tilting Republican for the first time since 2018. Polls confirm the rot: Democrat favorability has cratered to the lowest in three decades, with 54% viewing the party negatively -- worse among independents at a dismal 11% positive. This is a fracture born of ideological hubris, cultural overreach, and a betrayal of the party's working-class roots. The Democrats' spiral into irrelevance is poetic justice -- a party that once championed American grit now lectures from ivory towers, alienating the very people it pretends to uplift.

At the core of this crisis lies an identity meltdown, a shift from the New Deal's economic rampart for the forgotten man to a fractured coalition of grievance-driven special-interest groups. For decades, Democrats claimed to be the party of the poor and working class, with many Americans believing they best represented those struggling to make ends meet. Today, that facade has collapsed as the party pivots to "marginalized" constituencies, disparate blocs from LGBTQ+ advocates to climate activists -- yielding a disjointed laundry list of issues devoid of unifying principles. Democrats have jettisoned blue-collar voters for white-collar suburbanites and well-heeled elitists on race, gender, and climate -- betting on demographic destiny via books like The Emerging Democratic Majority. The wager failed spectacularly: In 2024, Kamala Harris lost ground among Black men, Hispanics, and even women, while nonvoters broke for Trump 52% to 38%. Young men, once a progressive stronghold, defected en masse, with Democrat identification among them dropping double digits over the past decade. By 2023, young women outpaced them by 18 points in party loyalty.

Conservatives have long warned of this elitist drift, but Democrats dismissed it as "blueskyism" -- an echo chamber of ideological policing where dissenters like data analyst David Shor were purged for noting that nonviolent protests hurt electoral chances. The consultant class, with its scripted platitudes and purity tests, only deepened the chasm. As Thomas Frank noted in Listen, Liberal, the party's "atmosphere of acute virtue" reeks of self-congratulatory snobbery, alienating voters who crave authenticity over Alpine propriety. Nate Silver nails it: This progressivism repels normal people by fixating on speaker identity over substance and inflating every skirmish into apocalypse. The result? A 35-year low in popularity, with 63% unfavorable views per the Wall Street Journal, and a brand synonymous with "out of touch," "woke," and "weak." In Missouri, voters endorsed Democrat policies like minimum wage hikes and abortion rights -- yet loathed the party itself, proving ideology isn't the issue; execution and empathy are.






Compounding this is the Democrats' willful blindness to festering wounds, exemplified at their 2024 Chicago convention -- a sanitized spectacle dodging the very debates that define their fractures. Three taboo topics loomed large: institutional racism and DEI, transgender rights, and immigration chaos. On race, the party tiptoed around slavery's legacy and "defund the police" themes, fearing backlash from voters wary of equity mandates -- despite Shavon Arline-Bradley urging, "We should talk about them... Show it, activate it and live by those values." Transgender issues, amid GOP restrictions on youth gender care, got zero stage time, even as polls show 68% opposing puberty blockers for preteens. Immigration, a Biden-era border surge straining blue cities, merited mere TV ads blaming Trump -- ignoring how Republicans weaponized it effectively.

Internal rifts amplify the pain. The Sanders-establishment feud over universal healthcare, donor influence, and corporate coziness persists, with the jarring hypocrisy of the convention pitting Bernie's anti-oligarchy fire against billionaire speeches. Gaza protests simmered outside, with thousands protesting U.S. Israel aid, yet inside, Biden's mild nod to "civilian deaths" was the extent of engagement. This leaderless vacuum – (soon-to-be-ex?) Senator Chuck Schumer's funding bill capitulation and subsequent shutdown sparking primary threats from AOC allies -- signals a party adrift, where a majority of Democrats now demand congressional intransigence over compromise. As one donor lamented, "Our party sucks. Our leadership sucks. Our message sucks."

Worst of all, extremism has hijacked the helm, spiraling Democrats toward Marxist fringes that conservatives view with grim amusement. Figures like Zohran Mamdani -- pushing rent freezes, property seizures, and "globalize the intifada" -- embody this lunacy, with his Eugene Debs quotes and race-based taxation alienating moderates. Litmus tests on guns or gender stifle mavericks; even Rahm Emanuel quipped he'd need "witness protection" for affirming biological sex. This "woke grievance" obsession -- eschewing gas cars (65% opposed) or "Latinx" (3% of Hispanics use it) -- builds no bridges, only bunkers. As Daniel Schlozman observes, "You can’t be a good Democrat if you undercut core party priorities… There is no obvious moment when the calibration stops."

If the current crop of party extremists regains power, America may never recover. To restore relevance, (and at the risk of giving them helpful advice), Democrats must reboot, not rebrand, as pollster Jeff Horwitt urges. First, reclaim economic populism: Ditch cultural crusades for bread-and-butter battles against corporate gouging, Big Pharma, and landlord abuses -- messaging that polled strongest in 2024. They should emphasize policies lowering living costs. Second, foster authenticity: Scrap jargon like "BIPOC" or "triggering," and nurture heterodox voices like John Fetterman, who reject orthodoxy. Say "no" to fringe demands and build trust through candor. Finally, confront taboos head-on -- debate DEI, borders, and foreign aid to heal divides, echoing Arline-Bradley's call to "live by those values." Usher in fresh (sane) leaders -- Pat Ryan over Schumer -- to inject energy.

From a conservative perspective, the GOP's Trump-ish populism -- raw, unfiltered, and worker-focused -- exposes Democrats' madness. Yet if they heed these lessons, shedding elitism for empathy, the party could rebound as a worthy foil. Until then, their irrelevance is a cautionary tale: In America, voters reward substance over sermons. The clock ticks toward 2026 midterms; will Democrats listen, or languish?


----------------

From American Thinker






.